The most recent SES/Sun Media poll indicates that mixed member proportional (MMP) is heading to a big defeat next week. Of decided voters who will cast a ballot, 64% intend on voting for the current system and 36% intent on voting for MMP. That is a big drop from an Angus Reid poll of nearly a month ago that I covered here that indicated 56% would choose to keep the existing system while 44% would choose MMP. Momentum is very important in politics, and it would appear that not only is MMP polling at about 1/3 support but it also does not have any positive momentum.
It is not over yet, though. It will be interesting to see if the undecided split the same as the decided or whether they will be more inclined to vote for change. Even if they are, it will still mean certain defeat if the SES poll is accurate, but they may be able to climb higher than 1/3 support.